Inflation rates have been low, with the Consumer Price Index averaging around 2% in 2002 and 2003. We expect inflation to remain low in 2004, possibly lower than the recent average, as the increases in energy prices that occurred earlier this year work their way out of the economic system. A rapid run-up in inflation could significantly affect our expenses because our cost of living adjustments (COLAs) for our bargaining employees are linked to changes in the Consumer Price Index for Urban and Clerical Workers.
In reducing the number of our career
employees by 24,000 in 2003, following
similar reductions in the past three years, we
reduced work hours by 54 million hours below
2002. We plan an additional reduction of 25
million work hours in 2004, which translates to
as many as 11,000 fewer career positions.We
have reduced positions through attrition, by not
filling certain vacancies and reassigning
employees. While we will continue to reduce
positions through attrition, we will also continue
to offer the voluntary early retirement packages
that we offered in 2003 to certain employees,
including clerks and mail handlers. These
retirement packages allow employees to retire
early with reduced annuities, but do not offer
incentive payments. We will not incur restructuring
expenses in connection with these
voluntary early retirements.
These reductions are achieved through our
cost savings initiatives that fall into two
general categories: cost savings programs
and increases in operational efficiency. We
have developed plans to continue productivity
increases and control expense growth using
both types of initiatives, but the majority of our
savings will come from increases in operational
efficiency.
The Postal Civil Service Retirement System
Funding Reform Act of 2003 (Act) was signed
into law by the President on April 23, 2003.
This Act, PL 108-18, changed our funding
requirements for CSRS retiree benefits and the
related Postal Service payment schedules. The
Office of Personnel Management (OPM)
projected that without this reform, we had
overfunded our pension obligations and, ultimately,
would do so by $105 billion over the life
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of the system. The Act refers to these averted
overpayments as "savings", which the Act
defines as the difference between the contributions
the Postal Service would have made if
this Act had not been enacted and the contributions
made by the Postal Service under the
Act. OPM estimated that these "savings" would
be $3.4 billion for 2003, $2.7 billion for 2004
and $3.1 billion for 2005.
As directed by the Act, we are using the
"savings" in 2003, 2004 and 2005 to reduce
outstanding debt to the U. S. Treasury and to
hold postal rates steady until 2006. The Act
also requires any "savings" after 2005 be
placed in an "escrow" account and counted as
operating expenses for rate-making purposes
until otherwise provided for by law.
In 2003 we added 1.9 million new addresses.
That's like adding two cities, one the size of Chicago,
and one the size of Baltimore.
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As required by the Act, we have submitted reports giving our recommendations on two issues. First, we recommended that the obligation to fund the military service costs of postal employees' CSRS retirement benefits revert to the Department of the Treasury. Second, we recommended that the escrow provisions of the Act be eliminated and that the "savings" be used to fund retiree health care benefits, retire debt or fund capital expenditures. We do not know what actions, if any, will be taken regarding these proposals. Any of these issues could materially affect our financial results in 2004 and beyond.
In 2002, at the direction of Congress, we
developed an Emergency Preparedness Plan
to protect our employees and our customers
from exposure to infectious biohazard agents,
to screen and sanitize the mail, to decontaminate
two mail processing plants that handled
anthrax-laden letters and to repair or replace
postal facilities affected by the September 11,
2001 terrorist attacks on New York City.
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