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Com-mit-ment n [from Latin committere
to connect, entrust] 1: the state or instance of being
obligated to a specific charge, goal, or trust 2: the
essence of the motto of the United States Postal Service 2: neither
rain nor heat nor gloom of night stays these couriers from the swift completion
of their appointed rounds.
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Recognizing these continuing challenges, we nevertheless
foresee the opportunity to earn net income in 2003 which would allow us
to retire more of our debt. To achieve net income and to generate positive
cash flow, we are committed to savings and cost avoidance of nearly $1
billion in 2003. All major field operating functions will have to become
more efficient. We will deploy new automation equipment and operating
management will be challenged to increase productivity for a fourth consecutive
year.
We are benefiting from moderate inflation and low interest rates. For
the first time in years we have labor contracts in place for each of the
major craft unions, giving next year’s expenses a modicum of predictability.
We expect that volume growth will resume slowly and generate increased
revenue as the economy recovers from the recession. Our bottom line will
also benefit from the full-year impact of the rate increase implemented
last June.
In addition, our financial results will be positively affected by proposed
legislation if passed into law. This legislation would change the way
we fund our retirement obligations for Postal Service employees and retirees
covered by the Civil Service Retirement System (CSRS). In November 2002,
the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) completed a review of Postal
Service funding and obligations pertaining to our employees and annuitants
covered by the CSRS. This review concluded that without a change in the
governing law, we would over-fund our CSRS obligations by $71 billion.
This conclusion was arrived at through careful analysis conducted by actuaries
and others at OPM, the Department of Treasury and the Office of Management
and Budget.
For 2002, the Postal Service deferred retirement liability payment of $3.9 billion
is reflected in the Statement of Operations as Compensation and Benefits
($2.3 billion) and Interest Expense on Deferred Retirement Liabilities
($1.6 billion). If enacted, the legislation has the potential to reduce
Postal Service annual CSRS retirement expenses between $2 and $3 billion.
It would also eliminate most of the $32 billion deferred retirement benefit
asset and liability carried on the Postal Service’s balance sheet. We
intend to use the benefits of this legislation to retire debt and stabilize
current postage rates until 2006.
We need to produce positive net incomes and reduce debt. At the same time,
we will maintain service performance and fund infrastructure replacement
and expansion. Retiring debt and funding capital improvement at the same
time involves a balancing act. It is appropriate to carry debt that funds
capital expenditures necessary to support our infrastructure or to increase
our operational efficiency.
To achieve a better balance in this regard, we must look to achieving
positive bottom lines. Under the current rate-making practice, however,
we can design rates to earn net income only to the extent necessary to
recover prior years’ losses. We have not been permitted to accumulate
retained earnings.
Our challenge is to build our business and improve productivity through
control of costs, while ensuring our long-term ability to provide quality
services. This may require filing for new rates. It may also require securing
legislative change that gives us more flexibility in the marketplace and
better control over costs.
Our discussion in the MD&A represents our best estimate of the trends
we know about, the trends we anticipate and the trends we think are relevant
to future operations. However, actual results may be different from our
estimates.
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